Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label statistics. Show all posts

January 18, 2013

Fall fuel use

While sifting through all the growth rate data I collected last fall, one thing I'm looking at is fuel use, and if using more fuel to speed up growth rate is cost effective. 


The greenhouses are heated by a furnace that blows hot air out (left).  They have a meter on them (right) that shows how many hours the blower has actually been blowing air out.  I record the number twice a week.  Since the meter is continuous I adjust the numbers to reflect the number of hours it was on for my particular experiment.  Oh-so-conveniently, the furnace uses one gallon of fuel every hour, so I also convert "hours" to "gallons."


The above chart shows total fuel use in each greenhouse.  Greenhouse one is heated to a 40 degree (F) minima and greenhouse two is heated to a 50 degree minima.  This doesn't mean that each greenhouse is at a constant temperature, it means the temperature will not fall below the given set point.  You can see this created a big difference in how much fuel was used. 

Since 'gallons of fuel' is a bit arbitrary to the non-greenhouse owner, lets attach monetary values (everyone understands dollar signs). So,

Greenhouse 1: 108gal x 3$/gal = $324
Greenhouse 2: 264gal x 3$/gal = $792

That is a big difference!  But is it economically worth it to heat the greenhouse to a higher temperature?  Will that make greens grow faster?  Or is it just throwing money down the drain?   That's what I'm working on figuring out (but haven't done so yet!).

* As usual, this data pertains only to our greenhouses this fall.  It is not complete and should not be used elsewhere.  If you are looking for data pertaining to winter greens growth, fuel use and temperature you'll just have to wait until I'm done with my thesis! *

January 11, 2013

How to analyze growth rate

I know you are agog with curiosity wondering how I am using the quadratic equation.  By using it I feel like I am fulfilling every math teachers dream.  This post will be a bit math heavy - just think of it as a way to ward off dementia.  Plus, this is the whole point of what I am doing, so it's pretty important.
First, the data I'm using is from mizuna planted on September 18th.  Second, remember that I measure growth rate by measuring leaf length of the greens twice a week.  The above chart shows those measures condensed over time.  Each vertical line of dots is one day.  You can see what a range of leaf lengths there are in plants sown on the same day and that as leaf length increases with time.
 To clarify that plants grow I added a linear trendline (in red).  Every line is described by an equation.  So, this line is described as:  Leaf length (cm) = -4.02 + 0.64*DAS.  It's nice and neat, and if only I could just stay here.
But, no, it's time to add a quadratic curve (in green). Quadratic equations are curvy, which is why the equations describing them are more complex and involve squared values.  See: 
Leaf length (cm) = -3.41 + 0.64*DAS - 0.02*(DAS-21.49)2


 The quadratic line fits the data better than the linear line (just trust me), so that's what I should use.
Finally, we've gotten to the point - how to use these equations!  (If you've made it this far I commend you.)  I've determined that the best size for baby salad greens is between 6 and 12 cm (purple dotted lines on the chart above).  Using the linear and quadratic equations I can figure out how many days it takes for mizuna to reach these sizes.  Just looking at the chart, it takes mizuna about 16 days to reach 6cm and about 24 days for it to reach 12cm.  I'd say that is enough for a Friday morning right?